看懂世界需要世界观

1
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在中国做生意啊

2
00:00:01,840 --> 00:00:03,259
或者在A股做投资呢

3
00:00:03,259 --> 00:00:05,429
实际上最好的话就是

4
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不要给任何价值观不一致的人多说一句话啊

5
00:00:10,199 --> 00:00:11,759
我从22年讲投资呢

6
00:00:11,759 --> 00:00:13,000
我讲的资产配置

7
00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,699
当时讲的A和美五比五

8
00:00:15,699 --> 00:00:17,160
后面的四比六啊

9
00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:18,750
后面三比七啊

10
00:00:18,750 --> 00:00:21,960
去年呢大A和美股呢建议大家做到一比九

11
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因为我就这么干的

12
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然后收益非常好

13
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然后保证了总体的资产上升

14
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很多人说哎呀

15
00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:27,920
权哥

16
00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:29,120
你老是讲A股的消费啊

17
00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:30,750
超过A股的科技啊

18
00:00:30,750 --> 00:00:33,929
我靠这就是哼

19
00:00:33,929 --> 00:00:35,469
这就是价值观不一致

20
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人呢他永远没法去理解什么叫配置

21
00:00:38,429 --> 00:00:41,600
给大家说一个很扎心的数据啊

22
00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:43,659
从2018年开始呢

23
00:00:43,659 --> 00:00:48,380
实际上大部分大部分中国的公司开始走下坡路

24
00:00:48,380 --> 00:00:50,399
阿里当时开始走下坡路

25
00:00:50,399 --> 00:00:51,950
腾讯呢后来被罚啊

26
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包括呢这个啊除了抖音拼多多还在增长

27
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都在下滑

28
00:00:55,859 --> 00:00:59,549
所以那个时候呢你要做的是你拼命的创业

29
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拼命的投

30
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拼命的招人

31
00:01:01,710 --> 00:01:04,109
你就不如躺平开始配置美股资产

32
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你看过去的这5年美股涨了多少

33
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美股的话我印象没错啊

34
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从三十万三四十万亿涨到了七八十万亿

35
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而我们A股呢也涨了

36
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他A股涨的原因呢就是发行的公司多了对吧

37
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原来的时候是从几年前上2000家

38
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现在六七千家港股的也四五千家

39
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总共A加港是1万多家公司

40
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每股到现在6000多家

41
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但是美股从这20年淘汰的公司就退市了啊

42
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比上市的还多

43
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所以相当于什么概念呢

44
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这一盆水的水位没变

45
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但是盆的面积大了

46
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底座大了

47
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就这么简单

48
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但是很多人还不理解啊

49
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他说哇靠

50
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那你这个没买到科技啊

51
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那你就不懂啊

52
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兄弟什么价值投资呢

53
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价值投资就是你买菜对吧

54
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你知道这个茄子成本五毛

55
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现在卖三毛

56
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我当然要买了呀

57
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他成本五毛卖五块

58
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我当然不买了呀

59
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那我去换个市场买

60
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我还是买茄子

61
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哪里的车最便宜

62
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我买哪里不就简单了吗

63
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你既然是做价值投资

64
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哪里有价值去哪里投资

65
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而不是局限于说我一到大衣里面买

66
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他妈的五块钱一斤的茄子

67
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那我不是蠢

68
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我就是傻

69
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对不对

70
00:02:09,479 --> 00:02:11,159
那宣扬的人不是蠢就是坏

71
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但是那个脑袋瓜子是个好东西啊

72
00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:16,060
啊就是就是我创业这么多年啊

73
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我在201819年

74
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我跟你说

75
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当时说的啊

76
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无论是这个啊这个遥遥领先呐

77
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啊好牛逼啊啊雷总牛逼啊

78
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你看是不是今天都兑现了

79
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这是最可怕的

80
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各位就像我们父母那一代人一样是吧

81
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一辈子吃糠难菜啊

82
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穷了一辈子啊

83
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到老了也不舍得花钱对吧

84
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他也不知道怎么该享受

85
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他也不知道什么叫享受

86
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说白了年轻的时候吃不饱是吧

87
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老了之后吃点喝点

88
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他也能想到的就是吃点喝点

89
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他们没有办法说我精神上这该怎么享受

90
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我怎么看到美好的东西啊

91
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我怎么看到文明啊

92
00:02:56,039 --> 00:02:58,300
怎么思考这个世界的这种未来好

93
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我怎么看到人类的闪光点啊

94
00:02:59,979 --> 00:03:00,740
我经常推荐一本书

95
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叫人类星光闪耀时讲的这个逻辑

96
00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:04,740
就是这个人要有使命

97
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什么叫使命呢

98
00:03:05,479 --> 00:03:07,139
就是你要知道什么是错的对吧

99
00:03:07,139 --> 00:03:07,919
你知道什么是错的

100
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你就不要去

101
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不要去这个错误的地方待着就完了

102
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但是呢各位我就跟他讲哈

103
00:03:14,219 --> 00:03:16,699
就是前两天是有个会员群的兄弟呢

104
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他就是这样说的啊

105
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他说强哥哎呀

106
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我们要去啊

107
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继续提高AI哈

108
00:03:20,939 --> 00:03:22,379
继续搞个AI算力

109
00:03:22,379 --> 00:03:25,060
我说AI呢肯定是还在增长哈

110
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我们AI翻多少倍了呀

111
00:03:26,900 --> 00:03:28,719
吸不出去翻到四倍对吧

112
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然后美光翻了四倍

113
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我们也是一样的

114
00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:33,740
但是呢为什么我说你要小心呢

115
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原因很简单

116
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就高估了任何的风吹草动

117
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都让你的账户暴跌

118
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各位你总共赚了21%晚上跌煤

119
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你难不难受

120
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我们翻了四倍

121
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我们的护城河够深啊

122
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不一样的

123
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所以呢你今天呢你要学期权策略啊

124
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就今天AA还在增长

125
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但是高估了是吧

126
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你要懂期权策略啊

127
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暴跌的时候呢啊通过期权呢啊拉拉成本对吧

128
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反弹的时候你再平平仓

129
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这样赚啊

130
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一晚上赚个几万美金很轻松

131
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但是呢你不会你可以学

132
00:04:01,189 --> 00:04:02,610
但是你永远不要说哇

133
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那就是高估了

134
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低估了

135
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不要单一思维

136
00:04:05,090 --> 00:04:07,090
各位这个时代赚钱很难啊

137
00:04:07,090 --> 00:04:09,009
单一思维的人一定赚不到钱

138
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多元思维模型就是你的世界观和价值观

139
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就你要能看到世界

140
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第二个呢

141
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你的思路和逻辑要多远几个字

142
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而不是单一的啊

143
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我只会一样

144
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我只会这样

145
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都会那样

146
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各位你一定会亏钱的

147
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第三个呢就是说白了你身边有牛逼的人对吧

148
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你不要跟那单一思维人聊

149
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你看我来到美国为什么健康啊

150
00:04:26,829 --> 00:04:28,769
我雪球写的文章写的很少了啊

151
00:04:28,769 --> 00:04:29,490
主要是什么呢

152
00:04:29,490 --> 00:04:32,338
就是隔离这些傻子隔离懂吗

153
00:04:32,338 --> 00:04:33,819
就是不要跟那傻子多交流

154
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不要跟蠢货多交流

155
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更不要给他价值观不认人有产生任何的关联

156
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各位你们能记住这一条啊

157
00:04:38,850 --> 00:04:39,589
我经常讲啊

158
00:04:39,589 --> 00:04:40,350
你们看我所有视频

159
00:04:40,350 --> 00:04:41,930
我讲我是说如果从底层出来

160
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你身边99%都垃圾

161
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对99%真的没有狗聪明

162
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就真的啊

163
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我我不是说骂狗哈

164
00:04:49,149 --> 00:04:50,290
是他不如狗聪明

165
00:04:50,290 --> 00:04:51,490
它为什么不如狗聪明呢

166
00:04:51,490 --> 00:04:52,829
因为狗啊它很简单

167
00:04:52,829 --> 00:04:53,149
懂了吗

168
00:04:53,149 --> 00:04:54,149
他人很复杂

169
00:04:54,149 --> 00:04:55,290
但人的智慧呢

170
00:04:55,290 --> 00:04:56,839
他因为这个股价的波动呢

171
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它丧失了智慧

172
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但狗不一样

173
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狗一辈子就吃喝玩

174
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吃点喝点玩玩

175
00:05:01,250 --> 00:05:02,689
他不会抢别的对吧

176
00:05:02,689 --> 00:05:04,149
谁对他好对谁好对吧

177
00:05:04,149 --> 00:05:04,810
他又很忠诚

178
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你看我家的狗

179
00:05:05,629 --> 00:05:06,790
我带了它一年

180
00:05:06,790 --> 00:05:09,319
就是现在不管吃饭睡觉休息

181
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天天趴我脚底下

182
00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:11,790
要把那群架得给足呀

183
00:05:11,790 --> 00:05:13,629
睡觉就趴在你床床床底下

184
00:05:13,629 --> 00:05:15,389
然后呢你你你在那里是吧

185
00:05:15,389 --> 00:05:18,470
那然后那个哼然后工作还就趴你脚底下

186
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就是这狗它比人聪明

187
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在这个地方就是它知道谁是对的

188
00:05:21,759 --> 00:05:22,240
谁是谁

189
00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:23,879
对它好的人不知道

190
00:05:23,879 --> 00:05:25,908
就价值观错的人呢

191
00:05:25,908 --> 00:05:27,588
你给他管管讲再多

192
00:05:27,588 --> 00:05:28,709
他也反不过来

193
00:05:28,709 --> 00:05:30,028
哎呀这个这个叫什么了

194
00:05:30,028 --> 00:05:33,720
叫叫叫叫叫哈滴水恩斗米仇啊

195
00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:35,100
就给它越多嗯

196
00:05:35,100 --> 00:05:36,180
他认为应该的

197
00:05:36,180 --> 00:05:37,199
这是人懂吗

198
00:05:37,199 --> 00:05:38,908
人这个世界上最坏的生物

199
00:05:38,908 --> 00:05:41,988
你这个世界上最没有哈道德和底线的东西

200
00:05:41,988 --> 00:05:43,228
因为动物它很简单

201
00:05:43,228 --> 00:05:44,069
就是吃嘛

202
00:05:44,069 --> 00:05:45,750
动物它不知道去贪

203
00:05:45,750 --> 00:05:46,529
动物它不贪

204
00:05:46,529 --> 00:05:48,310
所以它就吃饱拉倒哈

205
00:05:48,310 --> 00:05:49,189
像狮子一样

206
00:05:49,189 --> 00:05:50,110
像鳄鱼一样

207
00:05:50,110 --> 00:05:51,540
吃饱了就不就不动了

208
00:05:51,540 --> 00:05:52,620
但人不是啊

209
00:05:52,620 --> 00:05:53,959
人是很炭的动物

210
00:05:53,959 --> 00:05:54,920
这个索取者啊

211
00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:55,600
我给大家讲哈

212
00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:57,180
索取者呢多的地方呢

213
00:05:57,180 --> 00:05:59,120
就是你如果你是个创造价值的人呢

214
00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:00,519
你身边如果索取者多了

215
00:06:00,519 --> 00:06:02,269
你远离他们绝对没错

216
00:06:02,269 --> 00:06:03,389
就是我们这些人呐

217
00:06:03,389 --> 00:06:05,550
就是他的价值观在于说创造一些东西

218
00:06:07,389 --> 00:06:10,029
但是呢收益者呢他没有这个能力懂吗

219
00:06:10,029 --> 00:06:11,129
所有者还是什么心态呢

220
00:06:11,129 --> 00:06:12,750
就是我凭本事借的钱

221
00:06:12,750 --> 00:06:14,259
我凭什么要还对吧

222
00:06:14,259 --> 00:06:15,180
我能哈

223
00:06:15,180 --> 00:06:15,939
我能够索取

224
00:06:15,939 --> 00:06:16,660
不干正事

225
00:06:16,660 --> 00:06:17,600
天天盯着股价

226
00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:18,379
盯着市场

227
00:06:18,379 --> 00:06:18,939
盯着政策

228
00:06:18,939 --> 00:06:19,740
盯着情绪

229
00:06:19,740 --> 00:06:22,990
我为什么我要去盯着公司内价那些价值呢

230
00:06:22,990 --> 00:06:24,189
所以你看我这几年呢

231
00:06:24,189 --> 00:06:25,538
我也拉黑了很多人啊

232
00:06:27,738 --> 00:06:28,298
当然了

233
00:06:28,298 --> 00:06:30,158
我说不是不需要很多年啊

234
00:06:30,158 --> 00:06:30,978
我昨天说了个兄弟

235
00:06:30,978 --> 00:06:33,939
我说一年之后你就知道你的账户怎么缩水的

236
00:06:33,939 --> 00:06:35,339
不用一年多哈

237
00:06:35,339 --> 00:06:36,339
这哥们他不服啊

238
00:06:36,339 --> 00:06:38,379
他说我现在缩水的价值投资

239
00:06:38,379 --> 00:06:41,370
我说你接下来价值投资你还有分红对吧

240
00:06:41,370 --> 00:06:41,970
比如你加的时候

241
00:06:41,970 --> 00:06:42,529
你跌十个点

242
00:06:42,529 --> 00:06:43,290
五个点分红

243
00:06:43,290 --> 00:06:44,209
你最多亏5%

244
00:06:44,209 --> 00:06:45,110
第2年是吧

245
00:06:45,110 --> 00:06:46,470
再分5%你就回来

246
00:06:46,470 --> 00:06:48,750
但科技永远没有就A股的科技啊

247
00:06:48,750 --> 00:06:50,110
我不是说所有的科技啊

248
00:06:50,110 --> 00:06:51,389
因为你买不到最低点

249
00:06:51,389 --> 00:06:52,918
而且呢流通股很少

250
00:06:52,918 --> 00:06:54,079
A股内科技能涨

251
00:06:54,079 --> 00:06:55,218
不就是因为流通股少吗

252
00:06:55,218 --> 00:06:56,199
你看看那些字

253
00:06:56,199 --> 00:06:58,259
PROMINMAX是总共1%到2%

254
00:06:58,259 --> 00:06:59,600
流通盘发行的时候

255
00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:01,180
他当然好拉了呀对吧

256
00:07:01,180 --> 00:07:02,459
只要是大股东不卖

257
00:07:02,459 --> 00:07:05,949
你永远都是都都都能感觉到好像长得不错

258
00:07:05,949 --> 00:07:07,589
但大股东开始卖的时候呢

259
00:07:07,589 --> 00:07:09,860
嘿嘿你你还能跑得了吗

260
00:07:09,860 --> 00:07:11,180
所以他很多人不理解哈

261
00:07:11,180 --> 00:07:13,759
美股的科技是因为它确实有居住护城河

262
00:07:13,759 --> 00:07:15,879
阿基纳的汽面平均估值是20多倍

263
00:07:15,879 --> 00:07:17,000
平均估值20多倍

264
00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:19,209
你想想他们是什么技术含量呀

265
00:07:19,209 --> 00:07:21,009
年利润千亿二十多倍

266
00:07:21,009 --> 00:07:22,050
你那叫啥呀

267
00:07:22,050 --> 00:07:23,699
你那是下游的代工厂啊

268
00:07:23,699 --> 00:07:25,540
人家今天赏你饭吃对吧

269
00:07:25,540 --> 00:07:26,920
你就有明天不赏你

270
00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:28,079
你啥也没了

271
00:07:28,079 --> 00:07:29,500
就这点都不清楚

272
00:07:29,500 --> 00:07:31,220
还在那里去涨价值投资

273
00:07:31,220 --> 00:07:33,819
还认为自己的这个都投入多牛逼

274
00:07:33,819 --> 00:07:34,759
就那点小钱

275
00:07:34,759 --> 00:07:36,579
说咱那天不顾人家一只股票

276
00:07:36,579 --> 00:07:37,839
一年股息分红多

277
00:07:37,839 --> 00:07:39,180
所以呢讲这么多呢

278
00:07:39,180 --> 00:07:41,379
不是说哈讲那个看不起人的意思啊

279
00:07:41,379 --> 00:07:43,610
就是就是价值观这个东西啊

280
00:07:43,610 --> 00:07:45,949
就对这种正直人来讲的话

281
00:07:45,949 --> 00:07:47,009
他很正常

282
00:07:47,009 --> 00:07:48,889
但对这种没有价值观来讲

283
00:07:48,889 --> 00:07:49,889
他是个稀缺品

284
00:07:49,889 --> 00:07:51,129
然后你在生活里面

285
00:07:51,129 --> 00:07:53,689
就按照现在的这种地域打法的话对吧

286
00:07:53,689 --> 00:07:56,129
你可以看我从前到后所有的视频对吧

287
00:07:57,649 --> 00:08:00,000
为啥科技参与者太少了

288
00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:01,759
99%的人都是从事这些

289
00:08:01,759 --> 00:08:03,019
没有任何技术含量啊

290
00:08:03,019 --> 00:08:04,990
然后呢这个搬砖搬砖辛苦钱

291
00:08:04,990 --> 00:08:06,230
我原来我在济南创业的时候

292
00:08:06,230 --> 00:08:07,269
我就说我说哎呀

293
00:08:07,269 --> 00:08:09,310
我说我将来我这些员工怎么办呢

294
00:08:09,310 --> 00:08:09,829
对不对

295
00:08:09,829 --> 00:08:11,730
就他们无论上大学的东西

296
00:08:11,730 --> 00:08:14,129
还是这个后面这个哈创业学的东西

297
00:08:14,129 --> 00:08:16,470
包括他们这个生活里面学的东西

298
00:08:16,470 --> 00:08:17,889
他不足以支撑他养老

299
00:08:17,889 --> 00:08:19,329
各位真的不支撑

300
00:08:19,329 --> 00:08:22,129
实际上中国的民营企业是最是最伟大的

301
00:08:22,129 --> 00:08:22,769
为啥呢

302
00:08:22,769 --> 00:08:26,050
他要把这些学校没有培养好的人

303
00:08:26,050 --> 00:08:27,399
然后把他培养出来

304
00:08:27,399 --> 00:08:28,939
有价值有有价值

305
00:08:28,939 --> 00:08:31,639
然后你自己想这个企业和员工之间呢

306
00:08:31,639 --> 00:08:32,759
它是一个不对称对吧

307
00:08:32,759 --> 00:08:34,969
那员工给你赚一一百块

308
00:08:34,969 --> 00:08:36,668
你要给他120块

309
00:08:36,668 --> 00:08:37,568
就这种概念

310
00:08:37,568 --> 00:08:39,328
你看我去年视频是不是这么讲的

311
00:08:39,328 --> 00:08:40,288
我说今天你创业

312
00:08:40,288 --> 00:08:41,649
你要算个账对吧

313
00:08:41,649 --> 00:08:43,230
那员工是拿5000块钱工资

314
00:08:43,230 --> 00:08:44,549
但是你的利润一个点

315
00:08:44,549 --> 00:08:45,269
他要卖50万

316
00:08:45,269 --> 00:08:46,149
你怎么可能卖50万呢

317
00:08:46,149 --> 00:08:46,970
一个人一个月

318
00:08:46,970 --> 00:08:48,490
所以基本上都是亏的

319
00:08:48,490 --> 00:08:50,210
唉我不知道多少人能看懂啊

320
00:08:50,210 --> 00:08:51,269
当时还有很多人骂我

321
00:08:51,269 --> 00:08:53,629
你看今年倒闭的越来越多了

322
00:08:53,629 --> 00:08:55,028
身边全是倒闭的

323
00:08:55,028 --> 00:08:57,969
各位全是每一天都是全给我倒闭了

324
00:08:57,969 --> 00:08:58,288
喊强哥

325
00:08:58,288 --> 00:08:58,808
我不挣你钱了

326
00:08:58,808 --> 00:08:59,489
全哥我要关门

327
00:08:59,489 --> 00:09:01,090
权哥我要怎么怎么样

328
00:09:01,090 --> 00:09:02,090
唉早知今日

329
00:09:02,090 --> 00:09:03,090
何必当初呢

330
00:09:03,090 --> 00:09:05,330
你老是做个老好人对吧

331
00:09:05,330 --> 00:09:06,690
你你根本就不去算账

332
00:09:06,690 --> 00:09:09,610
不去理解师徒这个抱有希望

333
00:09:10,509 --> 00:09:11,730
但是今天也不晚

334
00:09:11,730 --> 00:09:13,590
你如果今天手中还有现金的话

335
00:09:13,590 --> 00:09:16,090
你要你要把它给保存好了

336
00:09:16,090 --> 00:09:17,149
不懂就不碰是吧

337
00:09:17,149 --> 00:09:18,350
不要跟着他们这些价值观

338
00:09:18,350 --> 00:09:19,350
不给人跟风

339
00:09:21,870 --> 00:09:22,519
知道吗

340
00:09:22,519 --> 00:09:24,179
这个社会必须有这种燃料

341
00:09:24,179 --> 00:09:25,879
真的它没有价值

342
00:09:25,879 --> 00:09:27,299
还有错误的价值观

343
00:09:27,299 --> 00:09:28,440
所以这些事情呢

344
00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,149
不要纠结于说我今天怎么样怎么样

345
00:09:31,149 --> 00:09:32,929
你可以自弄个好环境

346
00:09:32,929 --> 00:09:33,929
真的兄弟们

347
00:09:33,929 --> 00:09:37,669
你相信我弄个好环境就是好人

348
00:09:37,669 --> 00:09:38,289
正直的人呢

349
00:09:38,289 --> 00:09:40,360
他必须在正直和好的环境里面

350
00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,159
错的人错的环境呢他会消耗你对吧

351
00:09:43,159 --> 00:09:44,480
让你无可奈何

352
00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:45,980
就好人变坏啊

353
00:09:45,980 --> 00:09:46,860
好人变坏

354
00:09:46,860 --> 00:09:47,860
坏人更坏

355
00:09:47,860 --> 00:09:49,330
那这种环境的话

356
00:09:49,330 --> 00:09:51,350
他对人的伤害是非常非常大的

357
00:09:51,350 --> 00:09:52,960
你好好想想是不是

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